Ekonomi Indonesia Diproyeksikan Tetap Tumbuh Resilien di Tengah Ketidakpastian Global

Poin-Poin Utama

• • Global economic growth is forecast to slow from 3.5% in 2025 to 3.0% in 2026.
• • High energy prices driven by geopolitical tensions have triggered inflation pressure globally.
• • Oil prices are expected to gradually decline as global supply adjusts.
• • Indonesia's economy is projected to grow around 5.2% in 2026.
• • Growth drivers include investment, government spending, solid domestic activity, and supportive government policies.
• • Foreign Direct Investment trends remain positive, particularly in downstream industry, base metals, and data centers.
• • Data centers are emerging as a new source of economic growth in Indonesia.
• • Current account deficit is expected to increase due to high energy imports and slowdown of major trading partners.
• • Volatility in global financial markets may affect capital flows and the rupiah exchange rate.
• • Changes in monetary policy in developed countries could impact Indonesian capital flows.
• • Bank Indonesia is strengthening domestic foreign exchange market instruments to support financial stability.
• • Bank Indonesia has implemented Local Currency Transaction development to deepen the forex market.
• • Vastra policy expands global investor access to rupiah hedging instruments in the domestic market.
• • Vastra is expected to increase domestic forex market liquidity and improve transaction transparency.
• • Bank Indonesia policies aim to create a more inclusive and resilient financial market.