Survei Terbaru: Pemilih AS Condong ke Demokrat, Tingkat Kepuasan Terhadap Trump Terus Anjlok
Survei Gallup kuartal kedua menunjukkan pemilih independen AS condong ke Partai Demokrat (49%) dibanding Republik (39%), dengan keunggulan Demokrat di tingkat nasional mencapai yang terbesar sejak 2008. Tingkat kepuasan terhadap kinerja Trump menurun karena kekhawatiran atas inflasi, biaya hidup, dan ketegangan Timur Tengah. Menjelang pemilu paruh waktu November, Partai Republik berupaya mengkampanyekan kontras 'akal sehat versus kegilaan' dengan menyoroti tokoh-tokoh progresif Demokrat.
Poin-Poin Utama
- Gallup quarterly survey shows US independents leaning Democratic at 49% versus 39% Republican.
- Survey conducted in Q2 with reporting date Saturday (5/9/2026).
- Democratic advantage among independents grew by 4 percentage points since Q1 2025.
- 31% of US voters now identify as Democrats, up from 28% when Trump began his second term.
- Majority of voters still identify as neither Republican nor Democrat.
- This marks Democrats' largest national lead over Republicans since 2008 per The New York Times.
- Republican-leaning independents dropped by 9 points since Q4 2022.
- Trump's job approval rating continues declining throughout his second term.
- Inflation has remained above the Federal Reserve's 2% target since the Iran conflict began in February.
- Voters cite Middle East tensions and shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz as reasons for declining Trump support.
- Trump campaigned heavily on high living costs from former President Joe Biden's administration.
- Republicans are spotlighting prominent Democratic socialist figures including NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Michigan Senate candidate Abdul el Sayed.
- The Republican National Committee held a campaign-style convention in Texas this week.
- Republicans frame the upcoming midterms as 'common sense versus insanity.'
- Gallup survey used combined random samples of more than 3,000 US adults with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
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